Resilient Renewable Planet (R2P) Conference, London 17-19 April 2023

The world is shaken by failures of critical infrastructure including energy, utilities, health, safety, transport, commerce, communications, medicines, fuels and more. Causal analysis identifies the lack of sufficient resilience alongside political attacks never before imagined.

The Renewable Resilient Planet (R2P) Conference at the Imperial College, London on 17-19 April 2023 brings together resilience leaders and professionals to lead into a pursuit of rapid enhancement of resilience to limit and minimalize future disruption. The Conference leads into the global-scale Human Continuity Project™. Please visit: www.eiscouncil.org/london

ARPI is a proud partner of the R2P Conference organisers, The Electric Infrastructure Security Council, and is a Founding Partner of The Human Continuity Project™.

ARPI’s Vice-President, Competition and Consumer Policy, Allan Asher, will speak at the Conference.

Allan Asher will announce on behalf of ARPI that: 

  • Leadership paradigm change is urgently needed across government, industry, academia and professional sectors to re-approach and re-think resilience and responsiveness; 

  • Traditional risk management processes have failed and will continue to fail – think 9/11, Global Financial Crisis, supply chains, cyber, covid – thus ‘every national risk management plan has been an illusion’ 

  • The key to enhancing resilience starts with understanding ‘What is resilience’ and ‘What is the Mindset’ that requires change for resilience to be effective in today’s transformative and disruptive world, where infrastructure is presently subject to rapid deterioration and without warning? 

  • ARPI announces a contemporary definition of resilience based on Strategic Risk Policy® as follows: ‘Resilience today means adequate ‘Protection against foreseeable Vulnerabilities’ – where Vulnerabilities include Exposures, Assumptions and Dependencies; 

  • Current research reveals that some Governments and members of industry do not have a definition hence understanding of resilience, making ‘protection against’ almost impossible;

  • Vulnerabilities constitute ‘potentiality or possibility’ of strategic risks - and are identified earlier - and only in total, through leadership paradigm change from organisation-centric to network-centric thinking. Because today, ‘information resides in networks.’ 

  • Resilience Principle One: ‘Risk today is based in Vulnerability and concerned with Consequences.’ 

  • Resilience Principle Two: ‘It’s not the cost of resilience today but the avoided cost of failure.’

Artificial v Real Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence has revolutionized the digital world but few understand its limitations. In fact, an early ‘clear-glass ceiling’ has become a ‘black-glass ceiling,’ that is, it still doesn’t know what it doesn’t know, hence for example, AI threatens to over-ride real (human) intelligence with potentially catastrophic consequences. R&D suggests that elements of AI will implode within a decade. ARPI is thus researching Intelligence Augmentation (‘IA’) as the ‘intelligence equilibrium’ restorative counterfoil.

ARPI ‘s Perspective on the Global Vulnerability from Reliance on Artificial Intelligence (AI):

  1. AI is not a ‘decision-maker’ – it is a sophisticated, programmed databank with inherent biases. It is useful for the gathering and provision of some information, but with significant limitations;

  2. AI is already enabling manipulation of information to infiltrate human life at all levels;

  3. World exposure to, and growing reliance on, the presently misunderstood AI is a global vulnerability – that is, a potential global, sovereign and strategic risk or worse, a wicked problem;

  4. Therefore, ‘threats’ and ‘threat actors’ must be addressed and reduced to prevent the global vulnerability – potentiality - from translating into a global or sovereign ‘strategic risk’;

  5. For example, urgent action is required to stop the potentiality of AI over-riding IA (real, human decision-making including values and wisdom) – that is, ensuring fail-safe military systems concerning the use of tactical nuclear, chemical or hypersonic weapons by nations;

  6. AI is not omniscient, can never see the ‘totality of a situation’ nor incorporate human values;

  7. IA Intelligence Augmentation is the necessary counterfoil to rebalance the ‘intelligence equation’;

  8. In summary, AI must be urgently re-approached, re-thought and re-designed to recognize and accommodate its limiting ceiling and borders; and

  9. Educational change is required to restore individual thinking, learning and creativity rather than reliance on programmed data, to enable global intellectual capital to develop as intended.

“Today, risk is based in vulnerability and concerned with consequences.”

In February 2022, ARPI published the Top 10 Global Vulnerabilities, drawing on information from the Global Risk Policy Network. Information technology was (and still is) clearly number one Global Vulnerability = “Failure to recognize that information technology is the greatest risk to mankind in the history of the world.” Vulnerability has a different meaning from risk and relates to potentiality or possibility of strategic risk. This is described in full in ARPI’s Strategic Risk Policy® Model (Risk 4.0).

The essence of Strategic Risk Policy® is the need for leadership paradigm change to adjust to today’s interconnected and interdependent world, a meta-grid of networks, where information resides. It is then possible to identify and protect against vulnerabilities before risks or crises arise, enabling informed and pre-emptive decision-making, for progress, security, resilience and sustainability for the future.

The Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) introduced ‘ARPI Perspectives’ this year to illustrate Strategic Risk Policy® thinking on global and sovereign matters. The first concerned the situation in Ukraine.

ARPI Perspective on Ukraine

The Australian Risk Policy Institute (‘ARPI’) wishes to make a contribution to resolve the situation facing Ukraine, in the context of Europe and the world, by approaching today’s situation differently, and proposing a new strategy, based on Eastern European-centric thinking, rather than only on Ukrainecentric thinking, thus viewing the situation in its totality, essential for an agreed and lasting outcome.

The essence of ARPI’s approach, titled Strategic Risk Policy®, centres around identification and protection against sovereign vulnerabilities including exposures, dependencies and assumptions. Thereby reducing existential threat of rapid deterioration and enabling nations to work towards enhanced resilience, sustainability and if necessary, capacity for rapid recovery.

ARPI is a not-for-profit, non-political, professional think-tank and educator promoting paradigm change by leaders to optimise informed and pre-emptive hence effective decision-making, within the strategic context of today’s transformative and disruptive world.

ARPI visualises a solution embracing eight Strategic Risk Policy® Pillars:

1. Convening of a powerful and public intervention by the only two national leaders who can make an immediate difference, namely, Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India, and President Recep Erdogan, Republic of Turkey;

2. Recognising that this conflict poses an immediate and existential threat to humanity, so now is the right timing for intervention to occur. Delay could be catastrophic;

3. Parties implementing a ceasefire for a period of three months to allow details to be agreed;

4. Solution must be broader than military and territorial interests;

5. Solution must cover issues of territorial integrity, national sovereignty, population alignment, food, water and energy;

6. Solution being intrinsic to the protection and prosperity of Europe must be underwritten and endorsed by all nation states involved;

7. Noting that Strategic Risk Policy® promotes transition as critical to public policy change; and

8. Success in this region, in a European context, may be advanced as a potential global model. ARPI can elaborate further and participate in a solution as outlined above, coming from a neutral, innovative and humanitarian perspective.

ARPI contact is Tony Charge, Chairman.

28 November 2022

Official Launch of the Asian Centre for the Global Risk Policy Network (ACGRPN)

New Delhi Institute of Management (NDIM) proudly launched the first risk policy centre of India i.e. Asian Centre for the Global Risk Policy Network (ACGRPN) in collaboration with the Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) on 28th October 2022. The 2022 Leadership Forum to launch the ACGRPN Centre was held on 28th October 2022 at the NDIM Campus. It was the first in-person trilateral event for the Centre since the announcement of the collaboration between NDIM in India and ARPI in Australia.

ACGRPN is a non-profit organisation, promoting and encouraging a new leadership approach across all sectors in Indo-Pacific, to enable informed and pre-emptive decision-making in today’s transformative and disrupted world through innovative Strategic Risk Policy®. ACGRPN is an Affiliate of ARPI, Associate of Electric Infrastructure Security (EIS) Council and member of the Global Risk Policy Network (GRPN). This Centre will provide:

  • The three-level course model of ARPI’s ‘Strategic Risk Policy® with an aim to offer certification as Risk Leader®, Risk-Advisor and Chief Risk Policy Officers to the global market.

  • ACGRPN offers policy advisory to government and private organisations on global and national vulnerabilities, exposures, risks, plus enhancements to enterprise risk management (ERM).

  • Global workshops and Leadership Forums on Economic Vulnerabilities and Risks in Indo-Pacific – as well as growth opportunities;

This Leadership Forum inculcated discussion around global risk - Critical Infrastructure, Cybersecurity and Strategic Risk Policy®. As such, the Forum had speakers from ARPI’s network of members and founding organisations and included presentations from the Vice-President of Strategic Programs at the Electric Infrastructure Security (EIS) Council (USA and Israel) Dr. Ehud Ganani, President and Chairman of the Australian Risk Policy Institute Mr Tony Charge, Ms Anurag Kanwar, Chair of ARPI Education Committee, ACGPRN Board Member and Executive secretary of the GCA Board of Directors (Australia), Ms. Jasmin Craufurd-Hill, VP, Advanced Technology at the ARPI, and Mr. Bharat Chadda, Partner and Advisory lead at KPMG India.

It was an extreme pleasure for us to host such a diverse group of people, from different backgrounds and concrete experiences, who participated uninhibitedly, sharing their thoughts and viewpoints while learning about the new concept and new framework of Risk

The objective of this forum was to-

  • Launch the Asian Centre for the Global Risk Policy Network (www.acgrpn.org)

  • Discuss how to prevent, protect and mitigate future, complex catastrophes in Australia and India by understanding the new leadership thinking and approaches necessary to succeed in today’s world.

  • Foster the Australia-India bilateral relationship for nation-building through an unparalleled networking opportunities.

  • Develop Business and Risk Leaders who will be trained for Australian and Indian government and corporate policy making.

  • Build meaningful relationships with like-minded global-thought leaders for nation building

The Keynote speakers of the Leadership forum - Mr. Tony Charge, Dr. Ehud Ganani, Jasmin Craufurd-Hill, Anurag Kanwar and Mr. Bharat Chadha.

Tony Charge is an author of Strategic Risk Policy®, a new leadership approach to enable informed and pre-emptive decision-making in today’s transformative and disrupted world. He has been advising multiple governments, peal world bodies such as the World Economic Forum, United Nations and corporates on the new frontline approach to ‘risk’ through Strategic Risk Policy® and its application to the matter of climate change, cyber security, resilience of critical infrastructure etc.

Dr. Ehud Ganani is the Vice President for Strategic Programs at Electric Infrastructure Security (EIS) Council. He is responsible for the development, coordination, and management of several key programs like Digital Transformation, EIS Academy, and EMP Consulting. He is a co-founder of Contguard Ltd., a global maritime container tracking startup. He is also a member of the SPECTRUM Group in Alexandria, VA and a Research Associate in ICT International Institute for Counter-Terrorism at IDC Herzliya.

Jasmin Craufurd-Hill is the Vice President, Advanced Technology, ARPI. Her expertise in technology and engineering safety stems from her experience in senior technical and strategic advisory roles in the government, research and emergency services sectors. Jasmin brings a wealth of knowledge and experience to the role of Vice-President, combining serious tech, engineering safety and an appreciation for design across some of the most rapidly evolving environments.

Bharat Chadha is the partner and advisory lead at KPMG India. He has more than 15 years of professional experience in technology and risk advisory. He is currently a leader in Digital Solutions focusing on Governance, Risk Management and Compliance. Over the years, Bharat has successfully led and managed many high performing teams for emerging technology solutions including Low Code/No Code, RPA, Regulatory Technology, Data & Analytics etc.

Anurag Kanwar, the Board member of ARPI and ACGRPN and Chair of ARPI’s Educational Committee to come on stage and shared the new framework of risk and how Strategic Risk Policy® Courses can be a game changer in identifying and managing global vulnerabilities and global risks.

Our Guest of Honors at the Leadership Forum were as follows:

Mr. SK Bose, Director at the Administrative Staff College of India (ASCI), New Delhi Centre. He is a renowned name in the education world. He was the head of the Human Resource function of Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL) -Corporate Office, for about 4 years (2018-July 2022), administering a workforce of about 32,000 employees. He is a passionate Entrepreneur with a never-ending desire to learn. He is the Member of the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industries (FICCI).

Mr. Vikram Gera, Senior Vice President, TR Chadha & Co LLP, Chartered Accountants. He chairs the ANZIBA (Australian New Zealand and India Business Association) and he works with the support of the Australian High Commission and New Zealand High Commission.

Attendees - NDIM Students and Faculty

By becoming a part of our dynamic network of thought leaders, attendees can:

  • Add value to their leadership skills with a more contemporary understanding of risk, leadership and decision making.

  • Develop proactive strategies to alleviate potential risks by emphasising their importance in terms of organisational vulnerabilities.

  • Have a network of like-minded global leaders analyse your risk policies.

  • Foster enduring relationships with renowned global leaders who have diverse insights on risk assessment and systems.

For inquiries, reach out to:



Top Ten Global Vulnerabilities

The Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) – convenor of the Global Risk Policy Network (GRPN) - brings you the Top Ten Global Vulnerabilities for 2022.

  1. Failure to recognise that information technology is the greatest risk to mankind in the history of the world.

  2. Resilience against negatively-inspired closure of global meta-grids of interconnectedness and interdependence is regarded as inadequate.

  3. Lack of awareness, anticipation and process in place to identify, prioritise and protect against global vulnerabilities and exposures.

  4. Misunderstanding the intentions of nations and (unregulated) virtual nations hence the failure of globalisation in its current form to protect and promote sovereignty and sustainability.

  5. ‘Someone’ can and will fix anything that breaks and breakages will only occur in an orderly manner and in the same way and not at the same time around the world.

  6. Unreality in practice of thinking that ‘normal’ will self-adjust and that things will continue as before.

  7. Reliance on nations and virtual nations to operate in the global public interest.

  8. Limitations of AI and slowness to understand a new systems theory of Intelligence Augmentation (IA) – beyond Artificial Intelligence (AI) - necessary to restore intelligence equilibrium.

  9. Investment reluctance – people and money - to change from traditional approaches to consider and introduce new solutions required today.

  10. Confusion exists between science and politics about the cause, effects and required actions or inactions concerning earth systems.

Further information about the Top Ten Global Vulnerabilities is available here

The perfect storm of global vulnerability

We are only now realising the extent of the vulnerabilities that human development across the world has created. Last year, the Australian Risk Policy Institute highlighted that ‘innovation without governance is a global risk’ and more recently that ‘IT is the greatest risk to civilisation of all time.’ Alarmist? No. Pragmatic? Yes.

Click here to read the full article

New Thinking - New Approaches Available to Prevent and Detect Bushfires

Since 1938 Australia has conducted 18 formal inquiries including Royal Commissions into bushfires in Australia. The main focus has been on ‘how to better respond’ - accepting an inevitability of bushfires. While this is true to an extent, the frequency, magnitude and destructive consequences combine to raise a different perspective.

This short paper explores how a different approach to bushfire risk can be achieved by applying ARPI’s Strategic Risk Policy model.

Click here to read the full article

Australia’s Bushfire Preparedness is Still Exposed – October 2020

‘Could bushfires of 2019-20 be repeated without lessons learned being addressed? ARPI raises an alert that the answer is still ‘yes’ in October 2020. Improvements in preparedness, while showing signs of change, are not matched by fundamental preventive action, nor a move to more effective, national co-ordination. ‘Who is responsible?’ and ‘what is happening?’ remain primary concerns. CLICK TO READ RELEASE

Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) & Electric Infrastructure Security Council (EIS) - Partnership for Collaboration

We are pleased to announce a partnership between the Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) and the Electric Infrastructure Security Council (EIS) to promote awareness, understanding and application of ARPI’s new thinking, new approaches and new frameworks about leadership, decision-making and risk for application to resilience of critical global infrastructure. CLICK TO READ RELEASE

Strategic Risk ‘Domino’ – The New Global Curve

 ARPI, the Australian Risk Policy Institute, Convenor of the Global Risk Policy Network, together with our affiliated European Risk Policy Institute, issue a warning to global leaders of a new dimension in global and sovereign risk – Compound Vulnerability – a domino effect of a new potential risk or vulnerability arising from an exposure created by an existing risk turned wicked problem. 

The world needs to be aware of and monitor a new Curve – the Exponential Vulnerability CurveCLICK TO READ RELEASE

Submission by Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) to the Royal Commission into the National Natural Disaster Arrangements – Summer 2019/2020 Bushfires

Submission by Australian Risk Policy Institute (ARPI) to the Royal Commission into the National Natural Disaster Arrangements – Summer 2019/2020 Bushfires

In summary, ARPI suggests that the scale of the bushfires was foreseeable, and to a large extent, preventable.

Decision-making must be informed and pre-emptive - before fires occur: not reactive. It must be made with ‘real-time’ local input through an intelligent, network-centric approach and frame – not in isolation from cities working with limited information or within jurisdictional boundaries – albeit exercising best judgement but without necessarily the ‘right information at the right time on the right issue.’